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Brad Davidson’s Randwick preview and tips – February 16

 Feb 15 2019

Best bet

Race 2 no.1 Nothin’ Like Harry ($2.90) rated $2.60.

Next best

Race 6 no.7 Egg Tart $3.60+ place only (Can also speck at $11 in Winx Out market too).

100 unit betting strategy (please note a unit is whatever you’re comfortable with- most betting strategies will be from 50-150 units depending on confidence levels and betting opportunities)

Race 2 no.1 Nothin’ Like Harry 30 unit win at $2.90

Race 3 no.12 Curata Princess 10 unit place on tote

Race 5 no.4 Lanciato 5 unit win $14 and 5 unit place at $3

Race 6 no.7 Egg Tart 25 unit place at $3.60

Race 6 no.7 Egg Tart 5 unit win $11 Winx Out Market

Race 8 no.2 Invincible Gem 10 unit win tote

Race 8 no.4 Bella Martini 5 unit win at $9.50

5 unit quaddie (starts r6, 83%)- 1st leg: 5. 2nd leg: 6,8,9. 3rd leg: 2,4,1. 4th leg:8.

Results for betting strategies for 2019 racing season (since Aug 1) so far: 486 units profit (12%POT, 4100 unit outlay).

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

Weather- Fine, firm track predicted.

Wind: Gentle ENE predicted (very slight headwind in home straight, tail wind down back straight).

Rail 3m-

Recent history rail 3m at Randwick

10/06/2017  Rand  3m  H10  Middle track on pace def advantage- 8/9 winners settled top 4

3/03/2018            Rand      3m          S5           Fence well and truly off                

14/04/2018         Rand      3m          G4          Got to the middle of the track butwhat was key was cover with a strong head wind with the sprint trips                             

9/06/2018            Rand      3              H9           Pretty fair track this. Won from most places                        

29/09/2018         Rand      3m          G4          Few off fence best ground here suiting run on. Fence not best place but not massively inferior                                                            

6/11/2018            Rwick    3              g3           Fair track this                                                    

26/12/2018         Randwick             3m          S5           2-6 off look best ground- didn't want to be hard fence                   

Last meeting at Randwick-         

26/01/2019         Rand      Rail True              G3          Pretty fair track- some races felt like fence not best but three winners day on fence. No dis to be on speed prob touch on pace but could still run on      

Overall assessment of track: Seems to be a pretty fair rail position in terms of run on but it seems most times hard fence is not the place to be in the 3m rail. Getting a few off looks a likely advantage on history.                   

Preview:

Race 1

Overview: Pretty open race this. Tenley could be worth a speck at odds and she was strong late on debut and clocked the best late splits of the day off a slow tempo. The blinkers go on here. Covert Ops and Fiery Red have both trialled up well for this and Covert Ops was only just beaten on the line by Magic Millions runner-up Dubious in the Breeders. Rotator did a bit wrong on debut but should attack the line hard again, while Garibaldi, Jonah and All Cylinders could win without surprising.

Advice: Tricky race. Moved Fiery Red up to 1st after comments from stable on Friday night.

Selections: 6-7-9-3-4

6.Fiery Red ($5.50)- Trialled well and was up on speed but didn’t finish off breeders. Once again trialled well coming into this. Trial times good. Betting?

7.Rotator ($5.50)- Entitled to run on debut but did to just miss to Amercement G3 level. Was a bit keen in the run there and also wanted to lay out in straight. Form out of race just avg so far but has upside. Does she want further than 1100 now?

9.Tenley ($11)- Blinkers 1st time- Nuce debut win when off speed and strong late. Beat Blazing Miss there who has since finished .3L off in a Widden. Good win off slow tempo and QL800,600,400m AND 200m splits of day. Trial just fair but wanted further. Could have last say if they go hard.

3.Covert Ops ($6)- Looked home in Breeders Plate and just caught late. Overall time quicker than Gimcrack. Trial was impressive. Just the last 100m?

4.All Cylinders ($14)- Nice win on debut, 2L quicker 3YO mdn and was stylish. Naturally this is another level but a bit to like about his style. Races keen and that’s a query.

Other runners:

1.Garibaldi ($14)- Strong win on debut but race was 6L slower 0metro win race same day and most of that last 600m. 2nd placegetter first starter and 3rd was beaten in a maiden at Ipswich only other start. Upside but would need to improve.

2.Jonah ($11)- One trial coming in was solid enough. Second to Time To Reign on debut (speed on for him) and then no match for Tassort last start. Has Saturday form at least.

5.Powertrain ($275)- Fought off canvas to win on debut but time at least 5L slower other two 1100m races on day and have to risk. 2nd horse beaten 6L only other start (at Randwick) too.

8.Intrepidacious ($34)- WNC and slow to recover in Widden so forgiving the effort there. Comes up with another wide draw though and has only won avg maiden so far.

10.Crystal Falls ($30)- Two recent trials have been OK. Beat Exhillirates in a trial last prep too. Betting?

11.Icebath ($46)- Trials OK without getting carried away about. Just beat Singles in latest trial who has since been beaten 7.5L.

12.Valdostana ($46)- Trialled OK in slow heat. Betting?

Race 2

Overview: Looks a nice race for Nothin’ Like Harry and he was a complete forgive last start when overracing and pulling off a slow tempo. He is a better horse bowling along and he gets the services of Hugh Bowman here. His run two back behind a subsequent winner was a cracker. Pontmain is one from one and has plenty of upside but this is a big step naturally, while Weston looks next best on his solid third at the Gold Coast last start. This is all about Nothin’ Like Harry though.

Advice: Nothin’ Like Harry to win.

Selections: 1-10-4-6

1.Nothin’ Like Harry ($2.60)- Complete forgive LS when overracing and pulling when took cover off slow tempo. He needs to get rolling this horse and keep improving. Bowman on. Best of on pacers in strong run race at Flemington two back in race where winner, 7th and ninth all won since. No luck Rosehill three back! Month between runs back in trip. Big track shd suit.

10.Pontmain ($6)-Good debut with a lot of upside and McEvoy on. 12.64 last 200m not super but four subs winners out of debut race. 2nd won by 4L since, 4th,6th,9th all won too. Bred to stay.

4.Weston ($8.50)- Crowded for room GC on fence, got through half way up straight and ran on best of inside patch while top two finishers were wider. 1400m up to 1800m there so fitter for it. First run that dist. Race 2L quicker MDN and off slower tempo. Overcame early work to win prior. Won 2/15.

6.Haames ($12)- Blinkers 1st time-1st try 1800m but looks to be looking for it. Two back bad check early in straight but picked himself up to get past Fui San and finish off well. 1600 back to 1500m and just fair latest. Good track OK.

Other runners:

2.Aragonese ($38)- Had chance last two starts in average form races. Can race a bit keen and this looks harder.

3.Balansa ($50)- Another one that can get his head up and race keen. Forgive last start when off track throughout. Settled better prior to that but didn’t really run on at Sapphire Coast.

5.Fui San ($25)- OK Rhill last start. 2nd QL200 of race. Won only start this distance range (1750) early in career on synthetic. Drops 4.5kg.

7.Tobermory ($30)- Last start win in avg figures and is he better soft ground? 2nd horse last start only won maiden (and took 12 starts to do it) start prior.

8.Mossy Girl ($151)- Too bad to be true LS (no excuse in stewards’ report). Has won 1800 but recent form just fair.

11.Bills A Goodie ($303)- Prefer others.

12.Tiara Road ($25)-Got past Fui San two back and right close to Haames. Start since Sapphire Coast just avg,. Only won 2/17.

13.Georgian Court ($75)- Wouldneed to improve.

14.Trumbo ($15)-1st crack 1800m. No match Embezzlement last start but beat the rest. Still beaten a fair way and 1800m risk?

Race 3

Overview: Gayatri is a stayer on the rise and while she only just got there at Warwick Farm last start she looks as if she will eat up the 2400m. She looks the horse to beat but she is well found all the same. The one that interests me from a place perspective is Curata Princess. She was found to be in season last start but her efforts prior would give her a sneaky chance here. The $3.40+ the place seems OK. Our Gravano and Zip A Dee Do Dah both have claims but are on trial at the trip, while Reneged is going well but I prefer him on a wet track.

Advice: Gayatri the horse to beat. I could entertain Curata Princess a place.

Selections: 5-12-2-1

5.Gayatri ($1.85)- Had the gun run and just got past game Dusk Falls last start.Firmer shouldn’t be an issue. Tricky draw- back or forward? Progressive and looks a real stayer. Won four from 6. Biggest test.

12.Curata Princess ($10)- Found to be in season LS forgive. Actually going OK- 3 back tempo cost her the race. Two back entitled to run on but did. Just gets back but solid place chance.

4.Zip A Dee Do Dah ($10.50)- Good win LS with blinkers on although second horse was stiff. On trial at trip and sectionals/form LS nothing flash.

2.Reneged ($21)- Hidden run last start after copping a check early and then making ground. I think he is going OK but is this his race? Knocks are yet to really prove himself at 2400m and he is better suited on wet ground.

1.Our Gravano ($12)- First crack 2400m. Made up a stack of ground to win LS but speed was on for him and they walked L600. Having said that, he wasn’t on the fence in run which was a massive advantage. Much better suited wet ground.

Other runners:

3.Monsieur Sisu ($18)- First crack 2400m. Should lead or sit second. Better suited wet?

6.Equipped ($12)- One paced last few but best of on pacers (did settle chasing pack though) in swoopers race two back and then OK last start.Meets Gayatri same weight for being beaten 4L last start.Last two wins soft but dry OK.

7.Letter To Juiliette ($37)- 3WNC last start forgive. Not far away two runs 2400m. One more maybe? Is she going well enough?

8.Art Attack ($21)- Racing well Qld. Set up for him with speed on two back and then finished off OK last start. How does he measure up?

10.Fabricator ($19)-Chased hot speed LS but on fence in run which was a key advantage. Our Gravano beat him home there. Gets a 3kg swing on that horse.First crack 2400m could be a risk.

11.Resort ($30)- Gun run and bolted in Sapphire Coast latest. Ran on well start prior. Obv step up here but should stay the trip at least where a few of these have ? at the distance.

Race 4

Overview: I think Don’t Give A Damn deserves to be favourite and he is unbeaten fresh. His first-up win over Trekking last prep was a beauty and he will settle in front of Diplomatico here. Diplomatico is a nice horse but he takes on the older horses here and he still isn’t bulletproof. You Make Me Smile is airborne and the form around him is super. Paret runs on but looks well found in the market all the same.

Advice: Don’t Give A Damn slight value.

Selections: 2-10-9-5

2.Don’t Give A Damn ($3.15)- Resuming- 3/3 fresh he just goes super first-up. Good figures when beating Trekking first-up last prep. Gets the gun run here and good track no issue. McEvoy rides. Box seats off good speed.

10.Diplomatico ($3.60)- Bolted in first-up last prep in good time-Won Brian Crowley avg time (6L slower Nivison) and then struggled down straight. Soft trial coming in. Clearly nice horse. Still does a bit wrong.

9.You Make Me Smile ($8)- Gone to a new level this prep. Easily quickest of 3 x 1200m races last start and good place chance. Desert Lord/Cisco Bay both finished behind him and won since and Juventus ran well since too. Drops 5.5kg.

5.Paret ($8.50)- Too short first-up, entitled to run on with speed on second up but did. Just gets back here and will probably start unders. Tickover trial since and should appreciate extra trip.

Other runners:

1.Special Missile ($24)-Blinkers again Trialled up well and missed start fresh in race always too short for him. Trial since solid with blinkers that go on race day. Like him when he can lead but faces a tough race here and so pressure.

3.Karavali ($56)- Latest trial a bit disappointing. Can often run a race fresh and does like Randwick but would have liked to have seen more last trial? Form tapered off last prep.

4.Bolero King ($85)- Well held first-up and this it tougher.

6.King Lear ($19)- Speed on to suit last start but got over them late. Just gets back here and bumps into a few smart ones.

7.Gauguin ($42)- Latest trial was average. Didn’t have the blinkers on and they are on race day but fresh record is only fair and this is tough,

8.Tessera ($42)- Hard to recommend. 16 starts since last win.

11.Wayanka ($18)- Good run fresh although weak rating race (1.2s slower Carrington) and this tougher! Back 1300m? Good track helps.

12.Alart ($170)-Would need to improve sharply.

Race 5

Overview: Brutal is unbeaten and the times he ran last preparation suggest he is the one to beat here. The knock is the price and I couldn’t recommend backing him at $1.75. There are a few horses at odds worth consideration here. Lanciato probably doesn’t get the right set up with not a heap of speed up front but his first-up run last prep was outstanding against Pierata and Kementari. His run was as good as both of those horses and they would be very short here. His racing style and 1200m being a tad short is the knock. Dreamforce was disappointing first-up last prep but that was down the Flemington straight and his win fresh the prep prior was nothing short of sensational. Noire next best.

Advice: If you like Brutal, wait because he definitely should drift from $1.75. I love the horse but I have to be against him simply from a price perspective at that price. Lanciato slight overs but track pattern key?

Selections: 4-2-9-5 Lanciato simply on top from a value perspective. No knock on Brutal other than the price ($1.75).

4.Lanciato ($10)- 2 trials. Scratched Expressway due to wet track. FUP last prep had to go right back and flashed to be beaten 1.5L Pierata, Kementari. Just has to get back from draw with race where doesn’t seem to be a heap of tempo.

2.Dreamforce ($7)- One trial no blinkers found line well (they go on race day). FUP last prep was keen on him and struggled down straight. FUP prep prior 1100m Rwick win was outstanding. Late figures were best of the day QL600 by 3L. Won Chatham after leading strong speed and kicking latest (weak form race). Can park just behind them here and run well.

9.Brutal ($2.30)-Returning two trials. Saved from 3yo race to run against older horses on good track. Tricky draw but should get across? 3/3. Win on debut was in very good figures (Q 3 X 1200m races day) as was latest win before a break where he beat subs G2 winner Leonardo De Hinchi (quicker time than I Am A Star in the Let’s Elope off slower early tempo!)  The knock is the price.He Just seems short enough taking on older horses from a sticky draw.

5.Noire ($11)- T wo trials good enough coming in. 2ND Sheraco fup last prep against the girls when QL600,400,200 day. That was heavy now good. Takes on boys now. McEvoy rides.

Other runners:

1.Dothraki ($14)- Honest on pacer. Soft time last start and stuck on. Should run well again but rarely delivers knockout blow.

3.Kaepernick ($12)- Won this race last year OFF 4TH Magic Millions start prior but this is a stronger edition. OK in Magic Millions race LS (3rd) but entitled to run on. Dry track helps, in top 2 5 of 10 at this track. Recent trial OK since GC.

6.Eckstein ($64)- One trial coming in just fair, FUP form just fair. This is tough.

8.Albumin ($25)- Disappointing first up in benchmark grade and this looks an ask. Good track suits but I prefer him at 1100m. I reckon 1200m sees him out. Draws to get that suck run he likes though. Trial since fup run OK without raving about.

10.In Good Time ($32)- Needed the run fresh but this is much harder against the boys.  Soft trial win since. 2/3 second up but faces a task.

Race 6

Overview: Winx is an absolute great and it’s wonderful to see her back. She will win again but from a betting perspective I am more interested in the Winx out market. Egg Tart at $11 in the Winx Out and $3.10 a place (top three with Winx in) seems a good gamble here. She should have won her past two fresh runs (including against Tom Melbourne last time in on a good track). She is better on wet ground sure but she flies fresh and I think she will run a big race here. Happy Clapper is the obvious horse to run second but he is eight now and coming off a bleeding attack. I’m against Tom Melbourne in the Winx out market. He is a good horse but he had everything to suit first-up against weaker opposition and I think he is a better fresh horse.

Advice: I’ll be backing Egg Tart small at $11 Winx out and main bet at $3.60+ to run top three in the race.

**** PLEASE NOTE THESE SELECTIONS AND PRICES ARE FOR WINX OUT MARKET**** WINX WINS BUT YOU DON’T NEED ME TO TELL YOU THAT.

Selections: 5……. 7-1-4-6

5.Winx- Wins!

*****WINX OUT PRICES BELOW****

7.Egg Tart ($6)- Saved from Breeders Classic for this. Should have won past two first-up including against Tom Melbourne. Tricky map and lack of speed concern but a terrific place chance. Rarely runs a bad race fresh! Prefers wet but Tramway fresh last prep good track.

1.Happy Clapper ($2.30)- Coming off a bleeding attack. Two trials both eye catching. Didn’t get around Caulfield first-up last prep but prep prior won Canterbury Stakes 1300. Beat Tom Melbourne Tramway first-up prep prior. 8YO now.

4.Tom Melbourne ($6)- Good win fresh but had race run to suit (1.2s quicker benchmark race same trip on day). Now slowly run race unless he rolls along in front? 2nd up record not as flash and this is harder!

6.Unforgotten ($9)- Good fup last prep on the fast lane (fence and one off clear advantage that day) when 6th in Winx Stakes off slow tempo. Two trials solid.

Other runners (Winx out prices).

2.Patrick Erin ($75)- Stayer resuming. Should need this.

3.Brimham Rocks ($15)- Two nice enough trials. 3rd to Avilius beaten a length off slow tempo last prep at a mile. 1400m the query + WFA?

8.Aloisia ($25)- Finished off OK fresh last two preps but they were in easier grade.

Race 7

Overview: The winner should come from either Miss Fabulass or Sylvia’s Mother here. Miss Fabulass has all the upside in the world but she is still doing a bit wrong (keen in his first trial) and she won’t want to be overracing too much here. The overall figures out of Sylvia’s Mother’s race last start weren’t anything flash but she was held up for most of the straight and she was a pretty soft winner despite that.

Advice: Not much between Miss Fabulass and Sylvia’s Mother. Promoted Madam Rouge to third Saturday morning after hearing stable talk positively about this horse on Friday night.

Selections: 8-6-9-7

8.Sylvia’s Mother ($3.60)- Flying this prep and a mare on the up. Sticky gate but 1200m should be OK. Late splits super two back at Cant and then latest had no luck and still won. Concern is Hway was run quicker overall off similar early splits although can’t knock her as she was held up until late.

6.Miss Fabulass ($3.25)- Exciting filly- Two trials have been good but still a bit keen particularly in first one. Won the Tea Rose in arrogant fashion and then overracing cost her the Flight Stakes. Will probably want cover and she is still learning but clearly the one on the up.

9.Madam Rouge ($11)- Two nice trials and won 2/3 first up but a bit disappointing last prep and would need to go to a new level.

7.Pohutukawa ($15)- Came a long way last prep. Race set up for WF first up and then too good Flem clocking QL400 of day to salute. Late splits were good but form out of race ordinary. Both wins last prep soft, now dry.

Other runners:

1.Oohood ($14)- One trial OK. Likely to gind this a bit sharp. 1 1/2L off Silver Shadow fresh 1200m last prep out wide when HAD to be on fence in run.

2.El Dorado Dreaming ($42)- Found 1400m a tad sharp last prep first-up so I would expect 1200m to be same story. Two trials OK.

3.Greysful Glamour ($84)- On an Oaks path, wait for further.

4.Terminology ($14)- Stakes placed and then won MM Maiden (2nd won since). Deserved victory there. Leads for fun here. Class the obvious query but does map extremely well and any on pace bias would help. Did run quicker time MM 2YO Classic LS.

5.Melt ($21)- Two trials. Shown speed so will be up there early in a race with not many go forward horses (should still be OK tempo with Terminology rolling along). Hard to line up her Group form over in NZ. Form out of races OK without getting carried away. Betting? Better form soft?

10.Nakeeta Jane ($33)- From a mdn win to G1 placing first prep. Outstanding and has upside. Heading towards an Oaks path you would imagine so you would expect 1200m to be a tad short. Trials have been OK (did contest very good heat latest).

11.Autumn ($100)- Good win frwsh but this is many levels tougher.

Race 8

Overview: I’m spewing I missed the price about Invincible Gem here and she will probably get back out a touch. She finished not far off Redzel and Trapeze Artist fresh last prep and chased home Happy Clapper fresh prior. I Am Excited gives them a start but she could not have been trialling up any better. She will be flying late. Bella Martini had no luck behind Osborne Bulls fresh last time and ran a bottler in the Empire Rose despite being three wide without cover throughout. Manicure next best.

Advice: Invincible Gem has been $11-$5 but surely gets back out to $7-$8? Wait for that potential drift. I could speck Bella Martini at $10.

Selections: 2-4-1-7.

2.Invincible Gem ($5)- Big chance here. Fresh last prep beaten 2.5L behind Santa Ana Lane. Less than 1L off Redzel and Trapeze Artist! Time out of race outstanding, late splits super and ov time 6L quicker 1200m B88 on day. First up two preps back third to Happy Clapper and Global Glamour in good figures. Maps well for Bowman. Trials just fair but only trials fair no blinkers. Blinkers on race day. 10 starts, 560 DLW.Won Missile over Le Romain first up three  preps back.

4.Bella Martini ($7.50)- One soft trial. No luck behind Osborne Bulls Regal Roller fresh last prep. Rounded out with good 4th Empire Rose when WNC. Just sticky draw. Finished alongside IG Regal Roller and meets 3kg better off.

1.I Am Excited ($5.50)- Two very good trials. Gets back but speed on. Won 1100m Rhill fup two preps back very good figures then second to Ellicazoom fresh last prep. Looks to be going very well. Pattern of track?

5.Resin ($12)- Two soft trials coming in. Best form was wet last prep and that’s the knock but came a long way last prep. 1/1 track/distance too. Drifts back.

7.Manicure ($7.50)- Had chance MM f+m race. Soft time outside lead and stuck on but Invincibella too good. More tempo here and draws wide. Won OK stakes race prior in fair figures. Soft trial since.

Other runners:

3.Princess Posh ($16)- Came a long way last prep and trials have been soft coming in. 1200m a bit sharp? Found 1350m a touch sharp fresh last prep.

6.Siren’s Fury ($29)- Did win first-up last prep when saved all ground on rail Hawkesbury. Three trials this time in OK. Drifts back but not far off Dane Ripper, Tatts.

8.Frolic ($44)- Tempo against LS and actually got home well (2nd QL600 day). Been a while since she has won a race (714 days) and gets back.

9.Sweet Scandal ($11)- Winning but weaker grade and hasn’t been setting the world alight sectionally. Back to 1200m off a little freshen with soft trial in between.

10.Alassio ($17)- Soft time on speed LS when sat o’side lead. On QBU here. 1200m probably sees her out particularly at this level. More speed engaged here but firmer surface is a plus.

11.All Over Bosanover ($29)- Aggressive ride last start and almost pinched it. That was soft track, back to good now disadvanatage. Also faces strong opposition.

12.Jadentom ($176)- Figures just fair out of B75 win. Looks outclassed here.

13. Jorda ($29)- Back on top of ground will suit, just gets back a long way and this it tougher than recent starts.

Race 9

Overview: I think the market has got this pretty right and I want to be forgiving of Girl Tuesday first-up. She was slow to recover, the stable stated she was carrying more condition than normal at the start of this prep and the tempo didn’t suit her. Having said all that, gee she was disappointing all the same. Harmattan won well last start in average figures (the form out of the race hasn’t been great either) but she is third-up here and a mile should suit.  Penske sets up well here back from the Carrington and the only concern I’ve got is whether his best performances have been on wet ground? I like the way Cosmologist has trialled up but a mile first-up is no easy feat, while Smartedge will have to probably give them a start but has been pretty good of late and just has to run out a mile now.

Advice: Girl Tuesday to win.

Selections: 8-4-11-7

8.Girl Tuesday ($3.70)- Started $2.15 fav and disappointing first up suffering first defeat. Slow to recover and stable said carrying more condition than normal. Draws well. Tempo was always against. Forgive one bad run?

4.Penske ($6)- Won in avg figures first-up but carried 60.5kg and then outclassed Carrington. His overall time still .6s quicker than Brazen on day as Carrington was run in much better figures. Gets chance back to this grade. Does he prefer wet ground?

11.Harmattan ($7)- Nice soft trial since last win at Rhill which was run in avg figures and form out of the race has been avg. On the plus side, she is only third-up, a mile should suit and she drops to 54kg here.

7.Smartedge ($9)- Slow out LS but rocketed home in sit and sprint to grab second to Seaway. Tempo against last two now. Back on dry no issue. Needs to jump and just gets back from draw. 1st crack at a mile.

Other runners:

1.Almost Court ($29)- One trial always going to be too short. Disappointing last prep. Won 1400m prep prior but weaker grade.

2.Shalmaneser ($204)- Two trials just fair. Not renowned fup.

3.Cosmologist ($14)- Really liked his two trials this time in. Won 1400m first-up last prep. Won 4 of 6 last prep. Good on dry and wet but probably better on wet ground compared to rivals. Syn hoof filler 1st time.

5.All Too Soon ($28)- Two trials OK. Generally better with a run and drifts back but no surprise to see her finish off.

6.Hursley ($102)- Trials just fair and prefer him over further.

9.Brazen ($21)- Tough win in Saturday grade latest but was lucky (Dealmaker was stiff) and he was in right spot at right time. Overall time a fair bit slower than Penske same day.

10.The Avenger ($12)- Good first-up and then knocked up off strong tempo second up on wet track (best form dry). Now 1600m third up but gets back from draw.

12.Green Sweet- Racing well enough but just gets too far back and needs too much luck for me to entertain as a betting proposition. This is also tougher than recent starts and he hasn’t won for 694 days.

13.Jake’s Hill ($102)- You would imagine would need further.

14.Villardo ($136)- Staying type. Trials have actually been a bit sharper than before last prep but the last trial where he ran on was run in a slow l600 (35.8s). Would need this you would expect.

15.Nicochet ($19)- Racing well. Beat home The Avenger LS. I know he has been placed at 2000m behind Sky Boy but I reckon he is better at 1400m personally and last two starts have been there. Now a mile. Up in grade.



Bradley Davidson - Sky Racing

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Brad Davidson’s Randwick preview and tips – February 16

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