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Sky Racing's Brad Davidson's - Warwick Farm Preview February 9

 Feb 7 2019

Best bet

Race 5 no.8 Fiesta

Next best

Race 7 no.2 Dawn Passage

Best value

Race 2 no.10 Alternative Facts e/w 1 x 5 but wet track is now a ?

Please note my rated prices are in BOLD next to each horse. Also, selections are not in order of rated prices. Horses representing value are promoted up the list.

Weather: Soft to heavy track. Odd shower around.

Track: Rail true

History Warwick Farm track rail true-

Track bias            F2           F3           F4           F5           F6           F7           F8           F9

7/01/2017            WF         TRUE     Soft 6-7 Wider the better! Helped swoop                                              

8/07/2017            WF         TRUE     G4          Fence inferior. 2l onwards out best ground                                                          

10/02/2018         WF         TRUE     S5 (rain night before      Fence or near it a no go zone. Wider the better                                                 

14/03/2018         WF         TRUE     S5-G4    Well off fence. Fence no go after rain in morning                                                              

9/05/2018            wf           TRUE     G4          Track was pretty fair                                                      

1/08/2018            WF         TRUE     G4          Bit on pace and fencish early but evened up late                                               

19/09/2018         WF         True       G4          Fence early here and then evened out late and if anything got wider last few. Slight adv on pace most of day                                                  

24/10/2018         WF         True       S7           Pretty fair- still reckon a bit better wider later but last winner won on fence so surprisingly not too bad on wet in true                                                  

22/12/2018         WF         True       H8           Closer to fence on pace OK early but wider and swooping second half of program                              

Overall assessment of track:. Getting out wide and swooping from early as the rain has arrived.

Race 1-Lonhro Plate (1100m)

Overview: Time To Reign is a deserving favourite and I’ve marked him around $1.65 after the rain. He is two from two, proven on wet and his recent trial was super. He maps a little awkwardly but there is only one turn over the 1200m here. The horse that is a rough place chance is Sylvia’s Memory. Her win at Coffs on debut was strong and then she was caught wide off a strong pace last start. She maps to lead here and may hold on for a place at $5. Does she handle wet ground the ? Bivouac and Cosmic Force should be thereabouts but I doubt they will beat Time To Reign.

Advice- Time To Reign hard to beat here.

Selections: 1-2-5-3

1.Time To Reign ($1.55)-1/2 to She Will Reign- 2/2. Soft or good no issue. Very nice trial heading in. Sticky draw but rolls forward and only one turn WF. Beat Bivouac on debut comfortably. Home track.

2.Bivouac ($6.50)- Ran on first-up off strong tempo. Looked winner on turn but had to settle distant third. Missed start prior earlier and that’s a concern as wasn’t great out debut either. No match Time TO Reign debut? 1kg swing on that horse only.

5.Sylvia’s Memory ($23)- Good win debut Coffs (form out of it avg). WNC latest at Randwick on a strong speed forgive. Looks the leader here. Bar Plates off. Last 100m?

3. Cosmic Force ($11.50)- Nice win on debut in OK figures for 2yos. (.4s or 2L slower 900m benchmark 64 same day). 6 subs starters out of the race for 3 placings. Two trials- first one soft trial closed off. Second shaken up and won in solid time.

Other runners:

4.Escaped ($23)- Two trials solid- shown speed in both- pushed along 1st one finished close third subs winner All Cylinders- Latest pushed out to win in good time.

7.Steel Diamond ($46)- Won two trials four weeks in between. Times OK. Didn’t beat much at trials. Blinkers 1st time- wore them in trials.

Race 2- TAB Highway Handicap (1200m)

Overview: You don’t need me to tell you Noble Boy is the horse to beat here and he is three from three and has rattled off some outstanding sectionals in winning. He still does a bit wrong though and will give them a start but class should prevail late. He is yet to see a rain affected track on race day but did win a trial on a soft 7 in OK fashion earlier in his career. The horse that is over the odds for mine is Alternative Facts. I concede the figures out of her wins two and three back weren’t great but her run was a bottler last start in a Highway race. She jumped well, had to go right back and then clocked the quickest last 200m of the entire day (quicker than open class Saturday city horses on day). Highway horses don’t normally do that. It was a hidden run and she can settle much closer here from the good draw. Whether she handles wet ground is the query. She trialled only fairly on wet ground in her first prep but she is clearly going much better this time in. Acquittal comes right into play now the rain has arrived. Danny Williams is convinced this horse is flying. Sausedge should roll forward (speed inside) and she is two from two and has upside.. The big risk is Sunlit. He has beaten nothing and hasn’t run time at all. I think he would be 20-1 personally if it wasn’t for the Matt Dunn factor in Highways.

Advice- Noble Boy clear horse to beat and I couldn’t talk you out of taking the shorts. I think the value lies with Alternative Facts 1 x 5 (5x the place) but the confidence is dulled somewhat by the wet track. Acquittal can bounce back now too.

Selections: 10-2-3-9

10.Alternative Facts ($14)- Last run was a cracker- jumped well  had to go right back- 11.36 Ql200 of the day! Hidden run. Settles much closer here from good draw. Form prior OK-Good win fup soft figures, 2nd up got back but speed on but got home. Overall time .6s slower Benchmark race despite quicker to 600m but could have settled much closer from a draw. 1200m looks natural progession. Wet would be ? Two trials wet just fair but in first prep when struggling.

2.Noble Boy ($2)- 3/3. Right part of track and strong tempo but clocked very good late splits when scoring Rhill last start. 2nd Coup De Main won well first-up this prep to frank form. Can do a bit wrong (slow out or race keen) but will whip to the outside here and storm home. Wet seems OK if rain arrives- Won trial S7 in solid fashion. Unraced wet.

3.Acquittal ($9)- Good in sprint home in strong race two back, bit disappointing latest. Jury’s out? Extra 100m will help. Can be somewhere there if produces best.

9.Sausedge ($7)- Good win fup 1200m.  1.4s quicker than Mdn on same day. Concern is the form out of the race- 12 subs starters 1 placings- 2nd,3rd,4th,5th,6th,7th,9th,10th,11th all well beaten since (2nd Yeldarb one good and one bad run). Other win at Moruya debut- .3s quicker benchmark race same day ebut Mpruya. Comes from good family. Drawn wide speed inside?


Other runners:

5.Tully Toff ($14)- Off the track last three starts and won two of them with big weights. Jumped well, went back off a freshen LS and didn’t figure last but was 4WNC against open horses and it was a sprint home. Overall time of race 6L quicker 1000m Mdn. 1200m more his go than 1000m and gets soft run just behind speed. Prefers dry it seems. Trainer striking 22% last 50 runners.

6.Exaggerate ($1000)- Wide draw and not going well enough.

7.Prince Planet ($60)- Caught wide first up but disappointing. Not for me. Did win only start heavy if rain comes but was a Parkes mdn.

8.Sunlit ($18)-Latest win .4s slower B66 day (last 600m was 7.5L slower) and marginally quicker 1000m mdn but slower last 600m. SC win .7s slower Class 5 on day. Slow last 600m. Not running time to be competitive here. Risk! Form out of both races avg and started $7-$8 both. Only positive is 1200m which he is bred to enjoy.

11.Zardoro ($54)- Had chances last two prefer others. Won one of 15.

Race 3- Benchmark 94 (1000m)

Overview: Single Bullet loves the 1000m but does the rain make it more like an 1100m race now? I would have preferred a dry track and that’s the concern. He gave them a start off a slow tempo and was too good last start. Yes, he goes up 5.5kg but he stays at this trip and the good thing about the 1000m at Warwick Farm is there is only one turn and he can probably sit wide and still win. Super Too has a good wet record and she will be in front for a long way here. Her recent trial was super (but she always trials well). She Knows has a good record fresh and she was pretty good down at Flemington last spring. She is a yard watch but looks one of the dangers. Memes has trialled up solidly and lands in the right spot. Akasaki looks the blow out at odds.

Advice- Single Bullet on top but I’m wary of Super Too and She Knows. Confidence gone in this race due to wet ground.

Selections: 5-3-4-7

5.Single Bullet ($4)- Gave them a start off slow tempo and gave them a beating last start. Quickest l600,400 and 200m splits of day easily (QL600 by 2L) but naturally this was going to be the case as very slow tempo. 1000m his go, prefer dry. Up 5.5kg, Meets Badajoz 4.5kg worse off for 2 1/2L. 2/2 AT 1000M. Runs spaced a tick.

3.Super Too ($4.50)- Did her usual thing and won her recent trial by a big space. She can run time on her day but needs right conditions. Should lead Memes. 1000m her go (all wins 1000 or 950) but well beaten all runs last prep? Market?

4.She Knows ($5)- Resuming no trials. Residual fitness from spring. 2nd to subs Caulf Sprint winner Eduardo and then held own two runs down Flem straight to finish campaign in Melb. Gets a good run here and fresh record is strong. Yard?

7.Akasaki ($16)- Resuming first-up no trials. Yet to miss a place fresh and has a nice turn of foot on his day and won 2 from 4 Warwick Farm but tough to recommend here.

Other runners:

2.Badajoz ($7.50)- Hard horse to catch- Some will say too close in run last start but they walked so no real excuses. Capable on day but hard horse to catch- 496 days since last win and nine runs.

6.Memes ($14)- Two trials up on speed and pushed along to run second to Fiesta in latest.Disap last prep but won fup both preps prior to that including Rwick 1000m. On speed just query on where she is at?

8.Latin Boy ($99)- Won 5 from 14. Two trials just OK. Hard to recommend off long lay off.

9.Malahat ($20)- OK fresh without getting carried away with. 528 Days since last win. Couldn’t recommend.

R4-Eskimo Prince Stakes (1200m)

Overview: Sandbar has trialled up well and looks the obvious danger. He just rarely runs a bad race! Gem Song should be doing his best work late here and his recent trial was super. Charge has ability but I haven’t liked how keen he has been in his two recent trials.

Advice: Sandbar and Gem Song look the two with the scratching of Brutal

Selections: 1-6-5-3

1.Sandbar ($2.70)- 2-2 first-up. Won the Rosebud fresh last prep but time avg and form out of race poor. Beaten just 1.5L Golden Rose! Prefer dry. Two trials solid without blinkers (they go on raceday). Maps touch awkwardly with Master Ash and Brutal drawn inside him?

6.Gem Song ($3.60)- Jumped well went to the line under own steam in only trial in slow time against little opposition (2nd Port Macquarie MDN winner). Better 2nd up last prep although took on older horses fresh. 1200m a bit sharp with bigger fish to fry over further this autumn?

5.Master Ash ($6)- 3 trials- first two didn’t show speed and just battled. Then 5 week break jumped to front and kept going in latest trial. Put in a good prep last time in but this is next level.

3.Charge ($7)- Haven’t liked his two trials- VERY keen in those trials and hard to say he won’t do that race day. Has ability of course.

Other runners:

7.Exceltic ($30))- Good from back last two but doesn’t help himself by getting out the back early.

8.Purple Sector ($123)-Needs further off trials and race form. Didn’t wear blinkers in trials they go on raceday.

Race 5-Inglis Sprint (1100m)

Overview: Fiesta looks the best of the day here. Her trials have been outstanding, you can make a case to say she should be unbeaten fresh and the rain is only a plus. She should park midfield and prove too strong late. I’m respecting Estijaab but I don’t like the price. The reasons I say that is she is first-up in almost a year off a trial where the jockey came off in the gates. It’s far from the ideal lead up and she will probably have to absorb a bit of pressure on speed as well. Royal Celebration comes into play now the rain has arrived, while Spin has been gelded and that might turn him around. He has always trialled well and his hit out into this was no different. There are plenty of horses in this race that should be 300-1 plus and that’s why we’re getting an edge on Fiesta in my opinion. I have her marked around $2.70.

Advice.  Fiesta the best of the day and I expect her to firm from $3.80. I’ve marked her a fair bit shorter.

Selections: 8-1-3-7

8.Fiesta ($2.70)- Looks really well placed here. Two trials have been super and you could argue she should be undefeated first-up- Only defeat in Gimcrack on debut where she had no luck. Won the Widden and Silver Shadow (Outback Barbie unlucky) at her other two fresh runs. Just needs clear air off this strong pace to go very close. Good or wet no issue.

1.Royal Celebration ($6)- Progressive horse- 3WNC first-up last prep when going down a nose to Gem Song. 1 soft trial- 1100m too short the query but speed on and he will work home with even luck. Defeated Coterie three previous clashes and Evalina only clash and meets better both at weights for doing so.

3.Spin ($10)- Blinkers OFF AGAIN, Gelded, Winkers AGAIN. Super trial coming in but it’s far to say he always trials pretty well this horse. Won MDN by big space fresh last prep and just missed to Santos in Skyline fresh prep before when he was caught on the fence which definitely was the worst part of the track on the day. Does the gelding op help find that extra 2L?

7.Estijaab ($5.50)- Golden Slipper winner back at the races. 322 days since last run off one average trial in spring where she had a problem and didn’t race. One trial this time in jockey came off in the gates. Has blistering speed but she will have to do a bit of work to get across and plenty of go forward horses. Defeated Fiesta 3L only clash in Slipper but Fiesta was 4 wide throughout. Talented filly no doubt but it would be a great performance to win this considering far from ideal lead up. Very well weighted.

Other runners:

2.Prairie Fire ($270)-Figures just fair out of Inglis race LS and form prior ordinary. Gets a long way back? Poorly weighted.

4.Danawi ($45)- Two trials- Missed start in first TRIAL and then sat outside leader second and won. The 1100m could be a bit short and he draws off track with speed inside?

5.Coterie ($34)- Closed off well in trial with blinkers on which go on race day. Concern was how keen he looked in the trial? Came a fair way last prep but this is another level. Will probably overrace.

6.Logan River ($680)- Winning well in country grade but this is a whole new level and very badly treated at weights at set weights.

10.Miss Invincible ($267)- outclassed.

11.Bold Arial ($89)- Won weak form race two back and just OK latest. Looks outclassed here.

12.Evalina ($22)- Nice trial coming in but needs to go to a new level here. No match Royal Celebration last  start and he gets a 2kg swing.

13.Wonderbabe ($33)- Stuck on well behind a smart one last start but this is a new level.

14.Mizzy ($30)- Trialled well but I remember she carried a lot of condition first-up last prep off one trial so yard important. Doubt she is up to the top few here.

15.Miss Scorcher ($270)- Outclassed.

16.Lashes ($60)- Solid maiden win but this is a very good race! Very poorly weighted. Should be getting almost 20kg off Estijaab and they meet at level weights.

17.High Ratio ($687)- Outclassed.

18.Accoy ($2750)- Outclassed.

Race 6- Breeders Classic (1200m)

Overview: I really liked Egg Tart here and but she is scratched so we will have to wait for another day. Cool Passion goes on top now. Her recent trial was super and she looks ready to go fresh. Her wet form is good. Champagne Cuddles is a likeable horse but she just consistently goes around under the odds for mine. Her late figures were good with the big weight fresh but she always takes up a big chunk of the market and hasn’t won for seven starts or 280 days now. The rain probably helps her. I don’t think Alassio is at home on wet ground and 1200m looks on her outer limits, while Slow Burn had no luck at all in two runs last prep and is a rough place hope. Good race. The rain also brings White Miss into play if she is fit enough? She has been missing the start at the trials which is not ideal. Nettoyer not hopeless now the rain has arrived.

Advice: Egg Tart each-way the value at $15.

Selections: 2-4-5-8

2.Cool Passion ($4.50)- Showed speed in recent trial and went to line under own steam in good heat. Not really renowned fresh but last two wins strong, particularly latest where went hard up on speed and kept kicking in a race run to suit those off speed. Stable/jockey in good form.

4.Champagne Cuddles ($4)- Best late splits of the day fresh at Flem but couldn’t beat Belwazi and Glenall whose form either side just avg? Did carry 59.5 fup and not a big mare. 2nd up record OK. Rain helps.

5.White Moss ($9)- Slow out in both trials concerns me? Normally up on speed. Found line OK all the same. Always promised plenty but first-up long break? Rain helps if fit?

8.Slow Burn ($9)- Two nice trials leading into this off a freshen. No luck at all last prep- FUP should have gone close when couldn’t get out and then 3WNC second-up. Plenty more excuses the prep before. Not well off at the weights but looks a target race off a freshen. Rough place hope.

Other runners:

3.Egyptian Symbol ($7)- Returned to winning form at GC last start. Rolled along and last 600m for race wasn’t quick allowing her to come into it. She was well off set weights and penalties there. 2nd up record sound. Second in this race to Prompt Response last year.

7.Nettoyer ($14)- One soft trial where found the line. Beaten less 1L Toy Show first-up last prep but that race run in slow figures and form out of it was poor. Well held in this race last year. She is a mudlark so rain helps!

9.Alassio ($9)- Poorly weighted but last start win/rating was strong. Q x 3 1100m races on day and probably leads these (unless Cool Passion is aggressive). Should be getting 16kg off Egg Tart but gets just 5kg. Doesn’t want rain for mine even though soft track record reads well that was S5s. 1200 the query? All form 1100m.

10.Tookookacod ($870)- outclassed.

Race 7- Inglis Millenium (1200m)

Overview: I have to be with Dawn Passage here and he ran scintillating time on his home track on debut. The step up to 1200m looks ideal and the only real concern for me is if he gets around Warwick Farm. Off what I’ve seen at his trials and only race start, he hits a bit of a flat spot at the top of the straight and then is really strong at the finish. Accession will be running on but his times and the form around him hasn’t been great. He is just on an upward spiral so I can’t knock him though. Pandano was impressive on debut and rates next best.

Advice- Dawn Passage overs at $3. Rated $2.80.

Selections: 2-1-5-8

2.Dawn Passage ($2.80)- Set up for him on debut but late splits and overall splits of race very strong. Posted QL800,600 and 400 splits of the day. Bred to enjoy extra trip. Mum had a good record soft. Just has to reproduce at 1200m and will be HTB. Concern is he hits a flat spot on turn and I think he looks a big track horse. Doesn’t want to find trouble at WF. With even luck, hard to beat.

1.Accession ($3.90): I wouldn’t say he has been running time (win two back ,8s slower Sei Stella and all L600, win last start .9s slower Alassio) but one thing about this colt is he keeps raising the bar. He didn’t beat much last start but his last 200m was pretty good (11.28s, 11th QL200 of day). I think gate works out OK here and he gets back off a strong speed. Soft seems OK. 2nd/3rd/5th all well held since.

5.Pandano ($10)- Nice win on debut. Figures out of race just OK and doubt he beat much (2nd horse beaten 2L in a strong maiden since) but has upside. Might be a nice miler-2000m horse in time. These are probably a touch sharp.

8.Biscara ($17)- Chequered passage in Blue Diamond preview LS. Peaked a bit late and sectionals from races to date nothing special. Might appreciate 1200m tempo but form a \ ?

Other runners:

3.Castlevecchio ($34)- Impressive win to the eye on debut but set up for him. Went very fast and came home VERY slow last 600m to allow him to get into it. Class a ? plus does he want further?

6.Soami ($45)- Made ground fresh after missing the start and will appreciate the extra trip. Race run .4s quicker 3YO mdn on day but would need to improve sharply to test the top few.

7.Espaaniyah ($25)- Went too hard in front LS when caught in speed battle but speed should be genuine again here. Only win was a day where you had to be on pace and she led. 1200m slower tempo could help or could go the other way too.

9.Blazing Miss ($23)- Stuck on well in race set up for swoopers LS. Think the Canonbury was a better race though. Rough place hope.

10.Avon River ($68)-Does herself no favours by getting back early. Beaten 4L by Accession and then entitled to do more LS. Risking.

11.Salome ($270)- ½ to Ringerdingding but hard to recommend on what he has done to date.

12.Pretty Brazen ($44)- ½ to Dollar For Dollar. Just missed debut. Average second-up. Jury’s out.

13.My Fire Phoenix ($135)- Won maiden in slow figures and then no match Dawn Passage. Outclassed.

14.Lady Naturaliste ($45)- Had every possible in front LS and run of winner was 10x better.

15.My Sweet Fish ($45)- Latest trial win run in similar time to Canonbury winner McLaren and actually about .8s quicker Dawn Passage (better last 600m by six lengths too) but was pushed out where McLaren and Dawn Passage weren’t. Still solid time. Draws well. Also ties In with Navy Cross- Dawn Passage just beat Navy Cross (no blinkers at the trials) at the trials and then Navy Cross had the blinkers on next trial and was held by My Sweet Fish. Spoke to John Sargent during the week and he said she is still immature and feels she will be a better horse in time. I get the feeling this could be all too soon for her.

Race 8- Bowness Stud Mile (1600m)

Overview: I really liked Tangled’s first-up run as a gelding. He was disappointing second-up last prep but his second-up record overall isn’t too bad and he looks a better horse this time in. Any rain would help him too. Brimham Rocks wasn’t beaten far by Avilius first-up at a mile last prep and he can run a cheeky race here despite the big weight. I’m respecting Gresham and New Universe with the light weights. Gresham gets a 4kg swing on New Universe, who was mighty impressive when going straight past Gresham last start. The key to New Universe is settling and he can be a bit keen in the run making it hard for him to catch. He did settle well last start with Hugh Bowman aboard but Bowman rides Tangled here.

Advice- Tangled to win if price holds up.


5.Tangled ($2.70)- Really good first run as a gelding over 1400m. Showed speed, stuck on really well. Race run 7L quicker Benchmark 78 same day but all before 600m. 1600m should help. 2ND up record is sound although disappointing (no excuse stewards’ report) second up last prep in Rwick Guineas. Any rain would help.

9.New Universe ($5)- Hard horse to catch but far too good last start off slow tempo too. 2nd QL200 of day in process. Bowman got him to settle LS but rides Tangled here (whether it’s his first preference I don’t know because he wouldn’t be able to make New Universe’s weight anyway). He can be a keen horse so key is for him to settle. If he does, he can win again for sure. Corey Brown’s first ride on horse.

8.Gresham ($5.50)- Had chance last start off slow tempo. Drops 8KG so will be popular. Race Tangled comes through rated much better same day. Box seats. Meets New Universe 4kg better off at weights. Not sure it’s enough if New Universe settles and reproduces LS.

10.Samadoubt ($10)- Probably held up too much in front LS. Like Rachel King going aboard as she allows them to really roll in front. Meets Gresham 6kg worse for that horse beating him home but more aggressive ride should see a better run. Home track. Has won here.

Other runners:

2.Morton’s Fork ($12)- Two soft trials. OK first-up last prep in strong run race Flemington and knocked up late. Good in Sydney first-up prep prior when tempo against and best L200 of race. 1600m fresh? Most fresh runs 1400m or below?

3.Allergic ($41)- Most likely need further first-up. Yet to place 7 fup runs.

6.Dark Eyes ($24)- Well beaten fresh. Just missed mile second-up weaker race last prep but got a soft time on speed that day. Wait for improvement. Would like rain.

12.Rodrico ($100)- Hard to have.

13.More Energy ($200)- Needs to lift.

Race 9- TAB Handicap (1600m)

Overview: Tricky race. I could have a speck at Looks Like Elvis now the rain has arrived. He is wet tracker and the wide gate could be a plus at this time of the day. Sondelon seemed to have his chance first-up but he trialled well prior and may bounce back here. He is well found all the same. Rapido Chaparro is the most interesting runner of the race. He bolted in over the mile beating nothing two back but in solid figures. He pulled up making an abnormal respiratory noise last start when fading over the 1900m. Back to the mile, he could give them something to catch  but the wet track could make it more like an 1800m race? Zidane just missed in a bob of the heads last start (average rating race) and is improving, while Love Shack Baby and Matowi are both capable.

Advice-  Tricky race. Sondelon top pick but looks unders early. Zidane could drift out to an appealing price.

Selections: 1-5-12-7

1.Looks Like Elvis ($10)- Good tempo and wet track allowed him to get home last weekend where had chance. Wants it wet again. Gets back wide draw?

5.Sondelon ($3.80)- Seemed to have chance fresh when stuck on OK. Race time 7L slower than Carrington Stakes but difference all up to 600m (Carrington run much quicker early). Won 2nd up 1600m last prep naturally weaker race. Untried wet (if eventuates) but two trials soft ground very nice.

12.Cisco Bay ($20)- $11-$7 and just battled fresh but it was a strong rating race (easily Q 3 x 1200m races on day). 1200-1600m now the query off Highway form. Wet track would help but enough kilometres in legs the ?. Stable flying- 16 winners past 50 runners.

7.Zidane ($10)- Missed bob of the heads in avg rating race LS. Really appreciated step up in trip there. Parr on and riding in form but so is former jockey Berry. One good and one bad run soft ground if eventuates? Gets good run just back midfield. Home track.

Other runners:

2.Love Shack Baby ($10)- Had chance in front LS off moderate tempo and there’s more speed here. Should tuck in behind speed.  Won twice at a mile. Win prior full of merit WNC.

3.Amanito ($17)- Solid from back off freshen last start where got home in race that didn’t rate through the roof. Marquand sticks and might be able to settle a touch closer?

4.Rapido Chaparro ($10)- Won by big space in good figures two back (although form from race ordinary) and then didn’t run out 1900m latest when making audible respiratory noise. Won a trial in good fashion since. Back to 1600m helps. Untried wet if rain arrives.

6.Sparky Lad ($34)- Racing OK without really threatening.

8.Animalia ($17)- 2 from 3 for new stable but had chance latest. Not sure he has the right form here and an awkward draw.Horse that won last start (Le Cavalier) beaten 5L and 12L either side of that run. 1st/2nd/3rd all held since. Wet form mixed.

9.Honey Esprit ($39)- Won at Pakenham last night but small field and Class 1 went identical time and QL600. Throw in fact beaten 3.5L only mile run and would need to lift.

10.Matowi ($11)- Got all the favours last start but was able to get the job done. Figures not great from race either is form. Untried wet if arrives (no trials either). Improving but needs to lift to another level. Looks staying type that may be suited to strong run race though. Gets in with 53kg.

13.High Low Bet ($33)- Last run was good on wet ground where leader stacked them. Leader since beaten 5L though and mile runs just OK so far (one run at Sandown mile unlucky earlier in prep). Not sure it’s the right form.

Bradley Davidson - Sky Racing

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