Back to Expert Comment

Caulfield Cup Preview

 Oct 13 2015


A former German star which won the Melbourne Cup 3200m last year. His performances since then have been lack-luster. He hasn’t shown any of the brilliance displayed last year. 2400m will better suit him; however his last race in the G1 Turnbull Stakes 2000m at Flemington was just another grinding effort. He would need to improve significantly and there has been no sign of that.

Snow Sky

Hasn’t raced since running 6th (7 runners, beaten 7L) in the G1 King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes 2414m at Ascot in July. His previous start was a 4L win in the G2 Hardwicke Stakes 2414 at Ascot in June. He’s definitely good enough to win, and if Sir Michael Stoute has him at 100%, then Damien Oliver will give him a great chance.

Fame Game

A high-class Japanese horse with strong form. He ran very well last start when 2nd in the 3200m Tenno Sho at Kyoto in May, finishing powerfully to be beaten by a neck behind Gold Ship. He is more than capable at 2400m, but perhaps better suited on a bigger track and at 3200m. He will prefer a strongly run race, and this will top him off beautifully for his main target, the Melbourne Cup.

Our Ivanhowe

Another former German star with high credentials. He won the G1 2413m Grosser Preis Von Baden at Baden Baden last year and performed well in the Japan Cup. His Australian runs have been improving as he adjusts to a new style. His last run at Flemington in the G3 2500m The Bart Cummings was sound, where he finished 2nd carrying 60k, conceding 6kg to the winner. His trainers the Freedman Brothers have won 4 Caulfield Cups. A softer track would suit him.

Hokko Brave

He has been competitive at the highest level in Japan, and his last start 6th in the G1 3200m Tenno Sho was sound. He hasn’t won a race for over 2 years and he has never won above ALLOWANCE level in Japan, but he has been placed while racing in the top grades. He is suited well at 2400m and the Caulfield Track should not pose a problem.

Mongolian Khan

After winning the G1 2400m Australian Derby and the G1 2400m NZ Derby this year, this classy New Zealander has emerged as an outstanding chance in this race. His performance G1 performance lately have been excellent at distances shorter than ideal. 4th in the G1 1800m Underwood Stakes and 3rd in the G1 2000m Caulfield Stakes, both at Caulfield, have set him beautifully and he is unbeaten at 2400m. He looks the one to beat, given normal luck.

Trip To Paris

English galloper which won the G1 4023m Ascot Gold Cup at Ascot in June. He is a strong stayer and as a 3yo he won at 2400m. He may be better suited by a longer race like his main target, the 3200m Melbourne Cup. If he can take up a forward position and the speed is generous, his staying prowess will make it tough for the others.

Who Shot Thebarman

He ran in this race last year and finished 13th after pulling up with respiratory issues. He went on to run a gallant 3rd in the G1 3200m Melbourne Cup last year. He hasn’t won a race in the last 12 months His recent form has been solid but unspectacular. 2400m will suit him better. His trainer is winning everything, and his jockey is also in good form.

Grand Marshal

A capable stayer which won the G1 3200m Sydney Cup in Autumn at Randwick, when a 40-1 outsider. His recent form in lower grade races has been OK. He will be an outsider again, and needs a soft surface to show his best, but he is comfortable at 2400m.

Royal Descent

A strong mare who doesn’t know how to run a bad race. She has been top five in 19 of her last 22 starts. She won the G1 Australian Oaks at 3yo, but and her only other run at 2400m was in this race last year, where she ran 5th beaten less than 2L. She is perhaps better at 1600m-2000m but she is capable at the longer journeys. There is no doubt she will run well again here.


Another classy New Zealander which has played second fiddle to Mongolian Khan for most of his career, running 3nd to him in the G1 2400m Australian Derby and runner-up in the G1 2400m New Zealand Derby in autumn. His lead-in runs have been uneventful, and he will appreciate the extra distance here. He may lack the class to win here…but only just.


Runner up in the G1 2400m Australian Derby in autumn, he is an emerging stayer striking form at the right time. He has been running well in lower grade races this spring, but 2400m looks ideal and he will be powering home at the end. Class is his challenge but handicap conditions will suit him.

Lucia Valentina

Top class mare which finished 3rd in this race last year. She has never won beyond 2000m, but she has been competitive at 2400m. Her form this spring has been patchy and she comes into this year’s race without a win in over 12 months. She would be suited by a soft surface.

Rising Romance

Former New Zealand mare which won the G1 Australian Oaks 2400 as a 3yo when trained in NZ. She was transferred to Hayes and Dabernig for this campaign. Her form has been patchy but her performance in the G1 2000m Makybe Diva Stakes at Flemington a month ago was excellent. She ran a close 2nd to Admire Rakti in this race last year and if she produces her best will be a chance again.


He won the G1 2200m Queensland Derby in June, which was a welcome return to form. His four runs this campaign have all been miserable, and he looks sadly out of form. Unless he improves 6L it’s hard to see him in the placings.

Gust Of Wind

This mare won the G1 2400m Australian Oaks at Randwick in autumn. She has been beaten soundly at all three of her runs since autumn. Her form has not provided any confidence that she is capable of beating this field. She would need to improve dramatically.

Set Square

Another high-class mare which won the G1 2500m Crown VRC Oaks at Flemington last year. She has only had 6 runs since then and all her runs in this campaign have been good. She looks to be hitting her peak for this race. Class is her challenge but her last start 3rd in the G1 2000m Turnbull Stakes showed that she is capable of providing an upset.


He is a capable LR and G3 class galloper which forced his way into this cup by winning a qualifier race G3 2000m Foundation Cup at Caulfield in September. He is in flying form in the lower grades. He has been beaten at all of his runs at 2400m in lower grades, and the distance at this level will test him.

Quest For More

His form in England has been solid, and his last start 2nd in the G2 3218m Goodwood Cup in July capped a great campaign. He has won at 2400m at handicap level in England, but he seems to improve at longer distances. This race may be a little short for him, and he is being set for the G1 3200m Melbourne Cup.


A G1 winner over 2000m as a 2yo, this horse has kept improving as a stayer. He is a brave, on-pace runner, which ran 2nd in the G1 2500m Victoria Derby in 2013. Injury has limited his career so far, but he seems to be fit and well now. He has never raced at Caulfield before, but his racing style suggests that it will suit him. He’s in great form at lower grades this campaign. He’ll be an outsider, but not the roughest chance.


Former Hong Kong galloper who has been placed at numerous occasions at G1 level in HK. He has been placed at 2400m but he has not won at the distance. His runs in Australia have been OK but not spectacular. He hasn’t won for nearly 3 years, and he would need to improve to figure in this race on recent form, but the extra distance could assist him.

Magic Hurricane

Since Godolphin sent him from England to Australia, he has not put a foot wrong. He was only a handicapper in England but in Australia he has been able to compete at group level. He may have improved a bit with the change of environment. His last start win in the G1 2400m Metropolitan Hcp was excellent. He is a stayer on the rise, and a bold showing here would not surprise.

Richard Freedman - Sky Racing

 Email to friend   


Send to friend

Caulfield Cup Preview

Your Name *
Your Email *
Friend's Name *
Friend's Email *

Racing Search

Live Racing

International Racing

Upcoming International Racing on Sky

View Sky International

Form Guide