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Saturday Raceday TAB Preview

 Mar 27 2015



A group of even sprinters according to our bookmakers will line-up in the $400,000 Group 1 William Reid Stakes (1200m) at Moonee Valley tonight.

Rebel Dane can be a frustrating galloper for punters but the son of California Dane – who finished seventh in the Darley Classic (1200m) at Flemington on November 8 at his latest start – has been well supported from $8 into $5 favourite receiving a third of all bets placed and has three wins, a second and a third placing from five first-up efforts.

The Robbie Griffiths-trained Angelic Light ($7 - $5 - $5.50) – who defeated Lankan Rupee in the McEwen Stakes (1000m) at Moonee Valley on September 6 – returns from a spell after an unplaced run in the Winterbottom Stakes (1200m) at Ascot on November 22.

Godolphin’s Earthquake ($8.50 - $6) should be fitter after following her disappointing 10th in the Oakleigh Plate with a second-placed finish to Pittsburgh Flyer in the MSS Security Stakes (1100m) at Flemington on March 14 and is the second-most popular runner with 18% of all bets placed on her.

Original favourite Vain Queen ($5 - $6) hasn’t been to the races since finishing fourth to Shamal Wind in the Oakleigh Plate (1100m) at Caulfield on February 28 but the John Sadler-trained mare has an impressive record of seven wins from 13 starts.

Peron ($5.50 - $8) can be hard to catch but the five-year-old resumed from her break since last year’s Queensland Winter Carnival with a second to Chloe In Paris in the Bob Hoysted Handicap (1000m) at Flemington on March 7.

Popular Trifecta: 7. Angelic Light | 1. Rebel Dane | 12. Galaxy Pegasus




Real Impact continued the recent dominance of Japanese gallopers ‘Down Under’ in last week’s George Ryder Stakes and punters believe it will continue with To The World in the $1.5 million Group 1 The BMW (2400m) at Rosehill tomorrow.

The four-year-old bay horse hasn’t run since finishing within a length of Gentildonna in the Arima Kinen (2500m) at Nakayama on December 28 and has amassed almost $2.8 million in prizemoney with four wins and four seconds from 10 starts.

After opening the $3.50 second elect on Wednesday, punters have signalled their intentions with the son of King Kamehameha into $2.30 favourite receiving 60% of all bets placed.

Former British galloper Hartnell ($2.80 - $3.20) has blossomed under the care of trainer John O’Shea and followed his second to stablemate Contributer – winner of the Ranvet Stakes – in the Chipping Norton Stakes (1600m) at Warwick Farm on February 28 with victory in the Sky High Stakes (2000m) at Rosehill on March 14.

Last year’s Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist ($9.50 - $11 - $8) will appreciate the mile-and-a-half trip after unplaced runs in the Peter Young Stakes (1800m) at Caulfield on February 28 and Australian Cup (2000m) at Flemington on March 14.

Lucia Valentina ($8 - $9.50) was no match for Contributer and Tosen Stardom in the Ranvet Stakes (2000m) at Rosehill last Saturday and connections of the Savabeel mare will be looking to the heavens with four of her five victories occurring on rain-affected ground.

Popular Trifecta: 8. Hartnell | 7. To The World | 1. Protectionist



Favourite punters will be hoping First Seal ($1.95 - $1.80 favourite) doesn’t get beaten as a short-price favourite for the second-straight time when she contests the $400,000 Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m) at Rosehill tomorrow.

The John Thompson-trained filly was run down late by Plucky Belle in the Coolmore Classic (1500m) at Rosehill on March 14 but she returns to three-year-old company which she dominated the start prior in the Surround Stakes (1400m) at Warwick Farm on February 28.

If money is any indication, First Seal will be first past the post with almost 80% of all bets placed on her including $6,000 at $1.95.

After a couple of indifferent runs, the Street Cry filly Winx ($7) returned to the winners list by defeating Hauraki and Supara in the Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) at Rosehill on March 14 to make it four victories from eight races with two seconds as well

While First Seal hasn’t been victorious beyond 1600m, Set Square ($5 - $8) has winning the Ethereal Stakes (2000m) at Caulfield on October 18 and the Crown Oaks (2500m) at Flemington on November 6 and will strip fitter after two runs from a spell.

Adrift ($12 - $9.50) has failed to flatter in her past two starts finishing seventh in the Surround Stakes and ninth in the Coolmore Classic after winning the Light Fingers Stakes (1200m) at Randwick on February 14.

Popular Trifecta: 1. First Seal | 2. Set Square | 6. Slightly Sweet



Catkins ($1.80 favourite) will be looking to add another Group race victory to her resume in the $175,000 Group 2 Emancipation Stakes (1500m) at Rosehill tomorrow.

After resuming with wins in the Breeders Classic (1200m) at Rosehill on February 7 and Millie Fox Stakes (1300m) at the same venue on February 21, the five-year-old grey mare by Dubawi found Cosmic Endeavour one better in the Canterbury Stakes (1300m) at Randwick on March 7.

The Lee and Shannon Hope-trained Madam Gangster ($8 - $7) is considered the biggest danger and has received slightly more support than the odds-on favourite after following three straight wins in November-December with a first-up triumph in the Frances Tressady Stakes (1400m) at Flemington on March 7.

Mahara ($9 - $9.50) is another hope but the Hussonet chestnut mare has been disappointing this campaign with only one placing (third) from three starts this campaign after winning the Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes (1400m) on Melbourne Cup Day last year.

Popular Trifecta: 1. Catkins | 7. Madam Gangster | 8. My Sabeel



An even bunch of colts and geldings will aim to bolster their credentials for next week’s ATC Australian Derby in the $175,000 Group 2 Tulloch Stakes (2000m) at Rosehill tomorrow.

Godolphin’s Hauraki ($4.60 favourite) was poor in his first two runs back from a break in Melbourne but the Reset colt improved sharply to finish second behind Winx in the Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) at Rosehill on March 14.

The Gai Waterhouse-trained Caped Crusader ($4.60 - $5) has won two of his three races including a last-start two-length victory in a Benchmark 67 for three-year-olds over 1800m at Randwick on March 11.

Diamond Valores ($7) finished fourth to Winx in the Phar Lap Stakes at his latest run and managed to split Sweynesse and Pounamu in the Gloaming Stakes (1800m) at Rosehill on September 27.

Ruling Dynasty ($7) has won two of his five starts (plus one second) for Bart and James Cummings while Omeros ($8) broke his maiden status at his second run over 1600m at Wyong on March 5 with John Sargent applying the polish.

There has been specking for Merion ($14 - $8) and Rhodin Drive (as much as $21 into $17).

Popular Trifecta: 8. Caped Crusader | 2. Diamond Valores | 14. Omeros



Matthew Jenkins - Tabcorp

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