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Adelaide Cup Preview

 Mar 9 2015

The Group 2 Adelaide Cup will be run over the famous 3200m trip on Monday, and whilst they might not be the top echelon of Australian stayers, a quality field will line up in the $400,000 event.

The G3 Lord Reims Stakes has traditionally been the best form race for the Adelaide Cup and this year looks to be no different, with the top three placegetters backing up on Monday.

The Darren Weir-trained Taiyoo was triumphant in the Lord Reims Stakes and is the current $4.20 favourite with Fixed Odds. The five-year-old gelding has been in scintillating form, winning seven of his last eight starts. He is a winner and is certainly the one to beat, though the big weight and wide draw will make it a tough assignment for the in-form stayer.

Second in the market at $4.80 is Lucky Lucky Lucky. Formerly trained by Steve Englebrecht, the five-year-old is now in the care of Tony McEvoy and looks to be thriving in his new surroundings. He has one win and two seconds from his past three starts under his new trainer, including a narrow second to Taiyoo in the Lord Reims Stakes on February 28. On that day, Lucky Lucky Lucky made a sustained run from the 600m mark and headed Taiyoo in the straight before wilting in the final 50m. He meets Taiyoo no better off at the weights and has also drawn a wide in barrier 12, but you get the feeling the gelding is improving with each run this campaign and can turn the tables this time around.

The G2 Adelaide Cup is set to jump at 4:30pm (AEDT). Tune into Sky Racing for all the action!

Renew is on the third line of betting at $5 and comes into this race with a different form line to the majority of his rivals. The Archie Alexander trained stayer is yet to fire in his two starts this campaign but don’t let that fool you. Third-up last campaign, the five-year-old gelding took out the Sandown Cup over 3200m and looks set to peak for this race. He has drawn barrier 2 and will be suited by the step up in distance, I expect him to be prominent in the finish.

Peter Moody and Glen Boss will combine with Crime Fighter ($7.50). The four-year-old has won 2 out of his last 3 starts and finished second to Taiyoo recently at Moonee Valley over 2500m . I’m doubtful whether he can turn the tables on Taiyoo based off their last encounter, but he has drawn ideally in barrier 6 and has the services of arguably Australia’s best staying jockey in Glen Boss so he has to be respected.

Check out the full market for the G2 Adelaide Cup here.

The interesting runner of the field is the imported galloper Refectory ($17) who comes into the race off a last start victory at Sandown-Lakeside. Trained by Richard Laming, the five-year-old has raced well this preparation and looks ideally suited over the 3200m. He is rising sharply in class but looks to be a good lightweight chance at nice odds.

I think Lucky Lucky Lucky will end Taiyoo’s winning streak. I’ve got those two on top from Refectory and Renew. Good luck!


Brad Marks - Sky Racing

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