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Thousand Guineas Preview

 Oct 9 2014

Who says racing doesn’t do change- look at this weekend with the first running of the Thousand Guineas on a Saturday. It will join in with the boy’s equivalent, the stallion making Caulfield Guineas. Although the prize pool for the filly’s race is a healthy $500,000 it really is dwarfed by the colts who run around for a cool $1 million. There must be something to be said about the comparisons between horses and humans.

The Thousand Guineas is set to jump at 5:05pm (AEDT). Tune in to Sky Racing to catch all the action! 

Never the less this is a super race for 3yo fillies at the 1600m and given the set weight conditions it usually favours the filly with the best form on the board, which means the race rarely produces a smokey.

I have had the pleasure of writing a piece about this race for the last two years and well, they really picked themselves so its hard to give myself much of a pat on the back. In 2011 three quarter sister to Atlantic Jewel, Commanding Jewel came up trumps and last year was super star filly Guelph. So here we go let’s find three in a row!

This year’s early favourite is Lumosty ($4.40 with, a cracking Fastnet Rock filly who won a Sale maiden over 1400m by nine lengths last time out, all be it on a slow track. Sale maiden winners don’t always bring favourites in G1’s but this filly ran 2nd to Eloping in the Blue Diamond Fillies Prelude at her first start. Super star Aussie bred international jockey Craig Williams to do the steering, she is looking hot, hot, hot!

Tahni Dancer ($13) also ran 2nd to Eloping, although it was much more recently at Mooney Valley in the Champagne Stakes. She came off the back of a Cranbourne maiden win, so she showed a good rise in class but this filly is at double figure odds.

Check the full market for the Thousand Guineas here.

Trainer Peter Moody has had to dig deep in his bag of tricks and pull out some blinkers to put on Bring Me The Maid – currently a $5.50 chance. No doubt she has some super form, winning the Magic Knight, Silver Shadow and was unlucky in the Golden Rose. She disappointed in the prelude and you may be sick if you took the $2.50 but she could bounce back. Maybe she just needs the sting out of the ground. Calling all rainclouds?

Afleet Esprit ($5) is not bred to run a mile but David Hayes and Tom Dabernig sure do know their stuff. She sat 4th and 5th the fence in the Guineas prelude and enjoyed a classic Damien Oliver ride from barrier 1 - do ya think she got all the favours?

When I watched the prelude I marked Go Indy Go ($4.80) as a black booker. She charged home from the tail giving every indication that she is looking for 1600m. Go Stevie Go you have all of Adelaide cheering you on.

Sabatini ($21) has NZ wizz kid James McDonald to steer for Seymour trainers Lee and Shannon Hope. She won the Quezette stakes at Caulfield, but could only manage a fifth in the prelude, the 1600 should help.

Surprise surprise only one runner here for champion trainer Chris Waller in the shape of Amicus ($11) with Huey Bowman on board. Has had a tough time last two starts. Was wide and pressed forward to take up lead at Caulfield 2 starts back and held on to be first past post but lost on protest, then last start was 3 wide with no cover and had to rush up outside the leader again- a little gassed I’d imagine.

Could Queensland have the winner of the Thousand Guineas in $13 chance Traveston Girl? Unlikely, though as they say, you have to be in it to win it. Pick in Time ($15) and Go Jennio ($71) are both maidens, while High Above ($26) has won a maiden at Warwick Farm on a heavy track, so they would be party poopers for punters if they won.

With all that said my picks are Lumosty, Go Indy Go, Afleet Esprit and Sabatini. Good luck!


Bernadette Cooper - Sky Racing

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